Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 71%
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177
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo26 mar 24, 16:52 UTC2 gen 40, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will be the first person to walk on Mars before December 31st, 2039
Manifold MarketsWhat will be true of the next person to walk on the moon? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold Markets🧑🚀 What will be true about the first person(s) to walk on a planet other than Mars and Earth? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If there are multiple people in the first mission, any of them getting back to Earth will resolve YES.
- Must still be alive.
- Market open until it happens
- See: @/strutheo/will-elon-musk-be-the-first-person