Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.3%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 24, 05:05 UTC1 gen 01, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the first person to walk on Mars be white?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
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Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegole
If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of athiests
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-person-to-walk-on-ma-cfc56129aa69
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-person-to-walk-on-ma-692eab550745
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above99%
- $74,250 or above99%
- $73,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 685,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 680,9K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 65-89+50.5pt56.4%
- 40-64-6.6pt41.6%
- 90-114+1.6pt2%
+7 altri esiti
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Volume totale
- 303,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 298,8K €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.4pt13.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.4pt12%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.7pt12%
+25 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt24.5%
- 200-219+10.0pt24.5%
- 220-239+7.0pt15.7%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $66,000 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
- $65,500 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 452,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 143K €
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Where will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $77,736.55 target
- ETH price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 55% al 14 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist??
- Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2101.
- Come viene liquidato Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of athiests