Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualesafely returns to Earth 93.9%In testa tra 35 esiti
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57
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multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto7 apr 24, 05:06 UTC31 dic 39, 15:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
🧑🚀 What will be true about the first person(s) to walk on a planet other than Mars and Earth? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
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Manifold MarketsWill the next person to walk on the moon be American?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
PolymarketNasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
All are at the time of moon walk unless otherwise specified.
- Add your own.
- Should be easily verified (ie nothing like "they love pineapple on pizza").
- Intention is "what will be the properties of Neil Armstrong 2.0".
- In general, all items are taken to be "as publicly known, at the time of the landing".
- So if the astronaut is trans but stealth and this has somehow not come up, it would resolve 'NO' for 'the named outcome'.