Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
IntrattenimentoIAOne-OffMusic3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 89%
Previsori
48
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto17 nov 24, 14:49 UTC1 gen 27, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will AI-generated content be nominated for a major award (like the Oscars or Grammys) by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI-generated song about Bitcoin reach 1M streams before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
Kalshi69th Grammy Awards: Host
KalshiWill Travis Scott win a Grammy at the 69th Grammy Awards?
KalshiRegole
Definition of an AI-Generated Song:
- A song where AI has played a significant role in either:
- Composition (melody, harmony, chord progression)
- Lyrics writing
- Vocal or instrumental performance (e.g., via vocal synthesis or virtual instruments created primarily by AI)
- Significant Role: For the song to qualify, AI must have contributed in a way that is more than minimal.
Mercati aperti
Entertainment
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026??
- Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Definition of an AI-Generated Song: