Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 59.4% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035??

Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2034.

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Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035?

Politica commercialeOne-OffGeopolitica Europa8a

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Dati al 26 ott 2026, 07:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4

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Sì 59.4%

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Aggiornato 6 ore fa

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2 ago 26, 17:22 UTC31 dic 34, 23:59 UTC

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Regole

Resolves YES if there is strong evidence that the European Union agrees and signs a major new treaty before January 1st 2035.

A “major treaty” must amend, replace, or substantially supplement the EU’s primary constitutional framework, with changes comparable in significance to the Maastricht, Amsterdam, Nice, or Lisbon Treaties.
Qualifying changes may include substantial reforms to EU institutions, decision-making or voting rules, the division of powers between the EU and member states, fiscal integration, defence policy, enlargement procedures, or membership and withdrawal rules.
The treaty must have a finalized text and be formally signed by representatives of all EU member states before the deadline.
It does not need to have entered into force or completed national ratification by that date.
The following do not qualify on their own: accession or withdrawal treaties, trade agreements, ordinary legislative acts, non-binding declarations, limited technical amendments, treaties involving only a subset of EU member states, or agreements that do not materially alter the EU’s primary legal framework.

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Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035?

Will the EU have another major treaty before 2035?

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