Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 77.7%
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto21 lug 23, 14:46 UTC1 gen 50, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Doomsday Clock be between 76-83 seconds to Midnight in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 15 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2050? If the change happens at midnight it will also count.
- If the clock shows a higher time because of some error it doesn't count.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.3pt97%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 998,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 667,5K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt36%
- September 309%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 257,7K €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt3%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt96%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+7.5pt74%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 78% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050??
- Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will the Doomsday Clock that the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's publish regularly be at or above 15 minutes to midnight, for any time before 01.01.2050? If the change happens at midnight it will also count.