Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 68.7%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto9 set 26, 19:52 UTC31 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What time at midnight will the Doomsday clock will be in 2027.
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Doomsday Clock reach 50 seconds to midnight by 2027?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
The Doomsday Clock is a design that warns the public about how close we are to destroying our world with dangerous technologies of our own making.
- It is a metaphor, a reminder of the perils we must address if we are to survive on the planet...
- ...Since 2008, the Science and Security Board has met twice a year to discuss world events and reset the clock as necessary.
- Full timeline of the Doomsday Clock is available here.
- Market will resolve based on press releases/official statements posted here:
- https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.3pt97%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 998,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 667,5K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+3.0pt36%
- September 309%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 257,7K €
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+3.0pt22%
- October 31+2.5pt12%
- September 30+1.1pt3%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt96%
- September 25+4.0pt88%
- September 23+7.5pt74%
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Israel military action against Yemen by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 69% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027??
- Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to midnight by end of January 31st, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Doomsday Clock is a design that warns the public about how close we are to destroying our world with dangerous technologies of our own making.