Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 66.2%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto24 apr 25, 21:34 UTC25 mar 29, 00:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Smallest viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
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KalshiRegole
Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
- Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
- Definition of "mainstream" Parties:
- Included as "mainstream": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
- Not included as "mainstream": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party) Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
- "Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag
Mercati aperti
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume totale
- 957,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 760,7K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election) dovrebbe risolversi il 25 marzo 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Any viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?