Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 66.2%
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9
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Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto24 apr 25, 21:34 UTC25 mar 29, 00:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Smallest viable coalition without AfD/BSW/Left? (German federal election)
Manifold MarketsWill the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Will the mainstream parties still have a majority after the next German Bundestag election?
- Resolves after the next German federal election (scheduled for no later than March 2029, unless early elections are called).
- Definition of "mainstream" Parties:
- Included as "mainstream": CDU/CSU, FDP, SPD, Greens
- Not included as "mainstream": AfD, BSW, Die Linke (Left Party) Other parties will be classified based on their policy positions relative to this spectrum
- "Majority" means collectively holding more than 50% of seats in the Bundestag