Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 62.5%
Previsori
38
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto6 mar 25, 11:53 UTC25 mar 29, 21:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
Manifold MarketsWill Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?
Manifold MarketsThe next new party to enter the German federal parliament (the Bundestag) will be an Islamic party. 🇩🇪🏛️☪️
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PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRegole
The AfD must get the biggest share of the votes/seats in the Bundestag in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029) for this bet to equate to True.
- CSU and CDU will be counted together as one party.
Mercati aperti
ElectionsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom13.1%
+45 altri esiti
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections??
- Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections? dovrebbe risolversi il 25 marzo 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The AfD must get the biggest share of the votes/seats in the Bundestag in the next Bundestag election (currently scheduled for March 2029) for this bet to equate to True.