Previsione della comunità attuale
No 89.5%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto13 apr 26, 14:28 UTC5 mar 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance (BSW) receives at least 5% of the party list votes ("Zweitstimme") in the next German federal election.
- It will resolve to "No" otherwise.
- The official result will be determined by the Federal Returning Officer (Die Bundeswahlleiterin).
- Verification can be made via the official website at https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/.
- If the party meets the threshold through winning three constituencies despite failing the 5% party list vote, the market will still resolve to "Yes."
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election? dovrebbe risolversi il 5 marzo 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria