Previsione della comunità attuale
No 84.5%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ott 25, 21:09 UTC30 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
This market resolves to "Yes" if the German Bundestag (the federal parliament of Germany) is officially dissolved by December 31, 2026 (local time in Berlin).
- Any dissolution announced or legally enacted before this date counts, even if new elections have not yet been held.
- If the Bundestag remains in session beyond December 31, 2026, this market resolves to "No."
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
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- 471,3K €
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026??
- German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato German Bundestag dissolved by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves to "Yes" if the German Bundestag (the federal parliament of Germany) is officially dissolved by December 31, 2026 (local time in Berlin).