Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 82%
Previsori
46
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto25 feb 25, 04:34 UTC2 mar 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).
- This market will resolve to NO if any other party wins more seats than the AfD in the next German federal election.
- If there is a tie for the most seats between the AfD and another party, this market will resolve to YES.
- The resolution will be based on the official election results as reported by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) of German
Mercati aperti
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections?
- Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections dovrebbe risolversi il 2 marzo 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).