Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 85%
Previsori
49
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
25 feb 25, 04:34 UTC2 mar 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
Manifold MarketsThe current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the FDP receive more than 5% of the vote in the next German federal election (regularly in 2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).
- This market will resolve to NO if any other party wins more seats than the AfD in the next German federal election.
- If there is a tie for the most seats between the AfD and another party, this market will resolve to YES.
- The resolution will be based on the official election results as reported by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) of German
