Will SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpace1aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 80%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo6 lug 26, 04:11 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By when will the first non-traditional launch of an orbital payload happen?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship first launch with useful payload?
Manifold MarketsHow many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
KalshiRegole
Presumably that is as an internal customer, including things like Starlinks but not other people's payloads flying on SpaceX launch.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 961,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 741,9K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 701,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 685,8K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 907,2K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027??
- Will SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will SpaceX be the customer for more than half of orbital payload mass in 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Presumably that is as an internal customer, including things like Starlinks but not other people's payloads flying on SpaceX launch.