Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 03:24 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 94.6%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto26 feb 24, 18:54 UTC1 gen 31, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsAny American frontier AI lab (e.g. OpenAI, Anthropic) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsAny leading Chinese AI lab (e.g. Deepseek, Moonshot, Zhipu) nationalized by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a public USA company be nationalized by EOY 2040? (not a bank)
Manifold MarketsWill Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich Money & Macro megatrends for 2026 will be correct?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Market inspired by various tweets calling for this to happen.
- Curious what odds Manifold puts on it (presumably low).
- I assume it will be relatively obvious if this happens or not, will defer to opinion of traders in case of high ambiguity.
