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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill humans create a black hole by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100?
Manifold MarketsAction Principle for a Dynamical Black Hole Mimicker Formation
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
Must be a bio human who plausibly is alive when their body approaches and falls into a black hole.
- Even if they likely died due to the approach it would YES.
- But if they were dead long before getting close to the black hole, then that would not count.
- An artificial black hole would count if it was strong enough to kill them or at least put them permanently beyond the event horizon