Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 70.2%
Previsori
25
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto22 ott 25, 17:53 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Scott Wiener win the California 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExSan Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Scott Wiener is declared the official winner of the general election for California's 11th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- Resolution will be based on the certified results published by the California Secretary of State.
- Scott Wiener is currently a Democratic member of the California State Senate, representing the 11th district, which includes San Francisco and parts of San Mateo County.
- He was first elected to the State Senate in 2016 and re-elected in 2020 and 2024.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 133,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
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KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
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- 30,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 70.2% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election??
- Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria