Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale(5%, 10%], Scott win 27.7%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+16.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto15 set 26, 19:02 UTC30 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Wiener win the California 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExMLB: Minnesota Twins vs San Francisco Giants (Sep 21, 2026)
Robinhood (Rothera)Arizona vs San Francisco
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 23?
PolymarketMinnesota vs San Francisco
KalshiRegole
Based on official SF gov results.
- Raw substraction of the percentage each of them receive.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change+1.0pt49%
- 25 bps increase49%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 8,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 939,3K €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt59.4%
- D-House, R-Senate29.7%
- Republicans sweep+0.1pt9.9%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-8.0pt55%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt45%
- Volume totale
- 29 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 547K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.6pt91%
- Republican Party+0.3pt9%
- Volume totale
- 30,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 473,3K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 59,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 470,6K €
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Ohio Senate winner?
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 22, 2026?
- What will Trump say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota (5%, 10%], Scott win al 27.7% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 30 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato San Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Based on official SF gov results.