Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets quota No al 90.8% al 17 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.

Come viene liquidato Will "Requiem for the hopes of a pre-AI world" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

JSON gratuito per questo mercato, senza chiave API:

Agenti IA: chiama pm_data_event sul server MCP di CoinRithm:

KALSHI

OpenAI market share this week

• Above 17.1%+1.0pt99.5%
• Above 15.1%99.5%
• Above 18.1%+51.0pt92.5%

+6 altri esiti

Volume totale

314,5K €

Volume 24h

108,6K €

KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 23.2%+14.0pt99.5%
• Above 21.7%99.5%
• Above 23.9%-6.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt27.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.5pt19.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.0pt15.7%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+5.5pt78%
• Anthropic-5.0pt21%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini+3.0pt99.5%
• Claude-6.0pt0.5%
• Grok1.5%

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude44.5%
• Gemini-1.6pt38.6%
• ChatGPT-2.9pt

• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 12–18
• Time's Person of the Year for 2026
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 18, 2026 (Vercel)