Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 64.6%
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3
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto20 lug 26, 21:52 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNVIDIAs datacenter revenue and BigTech AI capex doubles by Q4 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?
PolymarketWill Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?
PolymarketWill the SEC eliminate the quarterly reporting requirement?
KalshiWill Georgia's quarterly GDP growth exceed 3% in Q2 2026?
ForecastExRegole
Context: https://epoch.ai/data-insights/hyperscaler-capex-vs-cash-flow
- Resolves yes if for a calendar quarter the combined cash capex of Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Oracle is lower than it was in the proceeding quarter.
- Since Oracle does not do calendar year reporting, their nearest fiscal quarter will be used for its contribution to the sum.
- The market resolves after Q4 2027 financials are released for all companies (including Oracle’s equivalent)
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028??
- Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Quarterly Capex Spend among AI Hyperscalers decrease before 2028??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Context: https://epoch.ai/data-insights/hyperscaler-capex-vs-cash-flow