Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.1%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto1 lug 26, 00:09 UTC25 set 26, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves YES if OpenAI keeps the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026, or officially announces before resolution that the September 24, 2026 shutdown/removal has been postponed beyond that date.
- Count as YES: - OpenAI official API docs, deprecation docs, status/docs pages, or an official announcement say the Videos API, Sora API, `sora-2`, `sora-2-pro`, or the listed Sora 2 snapshots remain available to developers after September 24, 2026. - OpenAI explicitly extends the scheduled removal date past September 24, 2026.
- Count as NO: - The Videos API / Sora API / Sora 2 API access is removed on or before September 24, 2026 with no official extension. - OpenAI releases a separate video-generation product or model, but the Sora/Videos API named in the deprecation notice is not kept available and no official extension is announced. - Only the old Sora web/app content export path remains available; this market is about developer API availability, not the discontinued Sora app/web experience.
- Resolve from official OpenAI documentation, status pages, or announcements when possible; use reputable secondary reporting only if official pages are unavailable or contradictory.
- If OpenAI changes names, use substance over branding: the question is whether the scheduled Sora/Videos developer API shutdown is extended or avoided, not whether any unrelated video product exists.
- Current source context at creation: OpenAI Help says Sora web/app experiences were discontinued on April 26, 2026 and the Sora API will be discontinued on September 24, 2026.
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026??
- Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 25 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will OpenAI keep the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if OpenAI keeps the Sora/Videos API available past September 24, 2026, or officially announces before resolution that the September 24, 2026 shutdown/removal has been postponed beyond that date.