Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 57%
Previsori
19
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto1 dic 23, 04:51 UTC1 gen 29, 06:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
PolymarketWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
PolymarketWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
KalshiWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
LimitlessWill any additional country announce that it is leaving OPEC in 2026?
PredictItWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves to YES if 9 or more of the 13 current official members of OPEC either leave the organization or stop adhering to production quotas (for >1 year) by Dec. 31, 2028.
- Update 2025-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update:
- No Production Quotas: If OPEC continues as an organization but no quotas are issued, that situation will be treated as equivalent to members having stopped adhering to production quotas.
- Resolution Impact: This interpretation applies when determining if at least 9 of the 13 OPEC members meet the criteria for dissolving the organization.