Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 73.7%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto20 set 25, 08:46 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Leopold Aschenbrenner return to OpenAI?
KalshiLeopold Aschenbrenner charged by which date?
PolymarketWill Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop podcast on Spotify in 2026?
KalshiUpOnly podcast: Guests this year
KalshiSarah Paine 2026 Podcast appearance
Manifold MarketsRegole
Between Sep 20 2025 and Dec 31 2026
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Leopold Aschenbrenner go on a podcast by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Leopold Aschenbrenner go on a podcast by EOY 2026??
- Will Leopold Aschenbrenner go on a podcast by EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Leopold Aschenbrenner go on a podcast by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Between Sep 20 2025 and Dec 31 2026