Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto2 giu 25, 00:05 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf the US confirms aliens exist, will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Jesus Christ return before 2027
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM PT, there is an event widely and credibly recognized as the arrival or return of Jesus Christ — whether as the Second Coming (in Christian eschatology), the First Coming (in the view of certain religions or groups), or a new messianic appearance.
- Such recognition must be confirmed by a consensus of credible global news outlets and at least one major world government or international authority.
- The event must involve a public, global acknowledgment that the individual is Jesus Christ or a direct fulfillment of the prophetic messianic role as traditionally understood in Abrahamic religions.
- If no such confirmation exists by the stated time, the market will resolve to “No.”
Mercati aperti
ReligionPOLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 56,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3K €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No75%
- Yes25%
- Volume totale
- 6,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 5,6K €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Pietro Parolin5%
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 118K €
- Volume 24h
- 64,5 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.5pt89.1%
- Yes-1.5pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 798,3 €
- Volume 24h
- —
POLYMARKETVatican III in 2026?
- No-0.1pt91%
- Yes+0.1pt9%
- Volume totale
- 8,9 €
- Volume 24h
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSCatholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- No85.7%
- Yes14.3%
- Volume totale
- 793,6 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- Restrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
- Will Joe Rogan convert to Islam by the end of 2030?
- Will Pope Leo XIV attend a professional sports game in the USA?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Jesus Christ return in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Jesus Christ return in 2026??
- Will Jesus Christ return in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Jesus Christ return in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM PT, there is an event widely and credibly recognized as the arrival or return of Jesus Christ — whether as the Second Coming (in Christian eschatology), the First Coming (in the view of certain religions or groups), or a new messianic appearance.