Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030?
PoliticaOne-OffSpaceGeopoliticaMiddle East4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.7%
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6
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto22 mar 26, 00:44 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Israel occupies at least 5% of Syrian territory by December 31, 2030.
- Syria has a total area of 185,180 square kilometers, making 5% approximately 9,259 square kilometers.
- Resolution will be determined by comparing the total area under Israeli military control in Syria (including the Golan Heights and any additional territory) against this threshold, using credible sources such as UN reports, international monitoring organizations, or verified satellite imagery assessments.
- Following the fall of the Assad regime on December 8, 2024, Israel invaded the demilitarized buffer zone in southwestern Syria adjacent to the Israeli-occupied Golan Heights and has continued to occupy it.
- Israel took advantage of the power vacuum created by the fall of former Syrian president Bashar al-Assad to increase the amount of territory it controlled by several hundred square miles.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 73% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030??
- Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Israel occupy at least 5% of Syrian territory by EOY 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria