Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo5 apr 24, 14:04 UTC1 gen 30, 21:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will AI be able to solve 50% of official Jane Street puzzles?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2030, will an AI system be able to solve compositional problems of arbitrary depth?
Manifold MarketsWill GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
Manifold MarketsWill GPT-5 be able to accurately compare weights of lead and feathers?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Twitter user VictorTaelin tweeted the following: (original post)
- "A simple puzzle GPTs will NEVER solve: As a good programmer, I like isolating issues in the simplest form.
- So, whenever you find yourself trying to explain why GPTs will never reach AGI - just show them this prompt.
- It is a braindead question that most children should be able to read, learn and solve in a minute; yet, all existing AIs fail miserably.
- Try it! It is also a great proof that GPTs have 0 reasoning capabilities outside of their training set, and that they'll will never develop new science.
- After all, if the average 15yo destroys you in any given intellectual task, I won't put much faith in you solving cancer.
