Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: No (97.9%)
Risolto: 1 ott 2026, 00:07
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 ott 2026, 05:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Yes2.1%
No97.9%
Vinta
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Google release a model officially named "Gemini 4 Flash" by November 13, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
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KalshiWill people be wearing the Apple Vision Pro in public in London by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves YES if, before 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC, Google publicly releases a model whose official Google-given name contains "Gemini 3.5 Pro", available to the general public — paid tiers and public previews both count — through at least one of: the Gemini app, Google AI Studio, or the Gemini API.
- Named oracle (in priority order): 1.
- Google's official model documentation at https://ai.google.dev/gemini-api/docs/models 2.
- Official Google announcement posts on https://blog.google/ or https://deepmind.google/ DOES count: a public preview / "experimental" tag, as long as any member of the public can access it (including behind a paid subscription).
- Does NOT count: - Internal-only, invitation-only, or trusted-tester access. - Benchmark appearances, leaks, model-string sightings, or press reports without a Google release. - A Pro-tier model shipped under a DIFFERENT name (e.g. "Gemini 3.6 Pro", "Gemini 3.7 Pro", "Gemini 4 Pro").
- This market is specifically about the "3.5 Pro" name.