Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.2%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto30 apr 26, 00:31 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which of NVIDIA, Alphabet, Apple, and Microsoft will have the largest market cap at 2026 EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded company will have the largest market cap on 1 January 2030?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Alphabet Inc. (GOOG/GOOGL) has the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company globally as of the market close on the final trading day of December 2026.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.
- Resolution will be based on data provided by reputable financial market data platforms, such as CompaniesMarketCap.com or Bloomberg.
- Market capitalization is defined as the current share price multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding.
- If market data for the final trading day is ambiguous or conflicting, common sense and the consensus of major financial news outlets will be used to determine the leader.
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026??
- Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will GOOG have the largest market cap by EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria