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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto24 set 23, 01:46 UTC2 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
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KalshiRegole
Eliezer uses an idiosyncratic phraseology and tends to assume a lot of shared context from his conversation partner.
- This works fine with other enfranchised rationalists, but makes it difficult for him to be understood when speaking to a general audience.
- For example, in the Destiny vs. Eliezer debate, Destiny took care to use common words and simple, concise descriptions.
- Eliezer by contrast would use various terms-of-art and subculture references that many audience members (and even Destiny himself) wouldn't understand, and would give long rambling vague answers that made people think he was dodging the question.
- If I find a relatively technical discussion of Eliezer's, lasting at least a half hour, where he does a better job of communicating in a way that won't be off-putting to most educated English speakers, I'll resolve this to YES.
- Otherwise it resolves to NO.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030??
- Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Eliezer uses an idiosyncratic phraseology and tends to assume a lot of shared context from his conversation partner.