Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 74.9%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto29 dic 23, 00:11 UTC1 mar 60, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2070?
Manifold MarketsWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
KalshiEvidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
FutuurWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2060, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.
- This refers to a structure or a system of structures that extends from the surface of the Earth into space, allowing for the transport of goods and people to and from Earth's orbit without the use of traditional rocket propulsion.
- The Space Elevator must be capable of regular operation and able to sustain continuous movement of payloads between Earth and space.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-3192414ff7cb
- @/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-292c3a01b029
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2060??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2060??
- Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2060? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 marzo 2060.
- Come viene liquidato Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2060??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2060, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.