Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 51.7%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto27 lug 26, 22:19 UTC1 gen 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump visit Iran?
KalshiWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWhich states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
PolymarketWill US president Donald Trump visit Iran in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Donald Trump visit in the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
LimitlessRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Donald Trump makes a subsequent visit to mainland China, Hong Kong, or Macau on or after July 27, 2026, and before January 1, 2027 (12:00 AM UTC).
- Because Donald Trump already completed a state visit to Beijing on May 13–15, 2026, his past trip does not satisfy the resolution criteria.
- This market requires a new, separate visit during the specified timeframe.
- The market will resolve based on official statements from the White House or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China, or consensus reporting from major international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg).
- A "visit" is defined as Trump physically landing and setting foot in the specified territory.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 Mln €
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 591,4K €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+2.9pt100%
- September 25+7.0pt93%
- September 30+6.5pt84%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt53.5%
- No change+1.0pt44.5%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 418,6K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep59.2%
- D-House, R-Senate30.6%
- Republicans sweep-0.7pt9.2%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,8 Mln €
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027??
- Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump visit China before January 1, 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria