Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 55.8%
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3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 56 minuti fa
In ritardo8 apr 26, 14:19 UTC31 mar 27, 04:00 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if China January 2027 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending January 2027, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 50 tonnes for January 2027 NO if: Export volume below 50 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
