Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 56.9%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto8 apr 26, 14:19 UTC31 dic 26, 05:00 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending October 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 20 tonnes for October 2026 NO if: Export volume below 20 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)
Mercati aperti
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Volume totale
- 35,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 100,1K €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Volume totale
- 11,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 38,7K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Volume totale
- 356,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 13,5K €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 11K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 57% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes??
- Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves YES if China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 20 tonnes.