Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.9%
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
8 apr 26, 14:19 UTC31 ott 26, 04:00 UTC
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Will China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 20 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 80 tonnes?
Manifold MarketsWill China October 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceed 50 tonnes?
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This market resolves YES if China August 2026 Sm2O3 export volume exceeds 50 tonnes.
- What is being measured: China monthly Sm2O3 export volume (GACC data) for the month ending August 2026, settled 2 months later to allow for GACC reporting lag.
- YES if: China Sm2O3 monthly export volume >= 50 tonnes for August 2026 NO if: Export volume below 50 tonnes
- Resolution sources (priority order):
- GACC (General Administration of Customs, China) monthly trade data — HS 2846.90
- Asian Metal — China rare earth export monthly tracker (asianmetal.com)