Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 93.3%
Previsori
23
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto2 ago 23, 03:57 UTC1 gen 35, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Donald Trump die?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump wins the election, will he die while in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLuigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
As opposed to being under secret service protection.
- This likely would mean he was convicted and is under house arrest, but doesn't have total freedom of movement.
Mercati aperti
US Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 592,5K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 602,9 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 220,4K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 214,6K €
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- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
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- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody??
- Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump die while in Secret Service custody??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As opposed to being under secret service protection.