Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Completes full term 78.8%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
160
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 34 minuti fa
13 giu 25, 17:31 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
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FutuurWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.
- Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term.
- the named outcome Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.
- If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.
- the named outcome
- Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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+49 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
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+39 altri esiti
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
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+38 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)??
- Manifold Markets quota Completes full term al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)??
- Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? dovrebbe risolversi il 21 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.