Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezioneGeopolitica2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 69%
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto30 nov 25, 02:47 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRegole
The Secretary of War William Belknap was impeached even after resigning in 1876.
- Will Peter Hegseth follow suit?
- Resolves YES on impeachment, regardless of what the Senate does.
- If he leaves office in other manner or serves the whole Trump term, without an impeachment process having been initiated, resolves NO.
- Any impeachment process started in the timeframe can result in YES, when the process ends, is not material.
- Update 2026-04-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Introducing articles of impeachment alone is not sufficient to resolve YES.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term??
- Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Secretary of War William Belknap was impeached even after resigning in 1876.