Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 64.6%
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto1 feb 26, 09:21 UTC20 gen 29, 11:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?
KalshiHow many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win at least 222 seats? // Will Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if the House of Representatives approves articles of impeachment against President Trump by simple majority vote.
- Verification can be found at Congress.gov by searching for passed House resolutions impeaching the President.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Will Trump be impeached in his second term? · No 98%
- Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets — Will Trump be impeached a 3rd time while in his second term in office? · Yes 64%
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes 70%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Will President Trump be impeached during his term? · Yes 64%
