Will Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or more the US Gas Price average on election day?
PoliticaQuarterlyUS PoliticsCommoditiesElezione1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 59.8%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
14 set 26, 05:35 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
PolymarketWhich Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn which months will there be a day the US gas average is at $4 or below?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Popular Vote Margin of Victory?
PolymarketDemocratic Popular vote percent in the 2026 house elections?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if democrats get 12x the us average gas price or more in the us house popular vote.
- https://gasprices.aaa.com/
- On election day, Tuesday November 3 2026, I will 12x the us average gas price for the day.
- If the average is $4.2000, then democrats must get 50.4% of the vote or higher.
- If the average is $5, democrats must get 60% of the popular vote in the us house elections.
- Here is democrats 2024 vote percent for example, the value on Wikipedia for 2026, which comes from official stats will be used.