Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione1mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMinnesota - Penny Flanagan 97.2%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+47.2 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
6 set 26, 20:16 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- on election day 2026 after the polls are closed, I will check Nate Silvers election poll model to resolve this market.
- If the Democratic candidate in the race is leading, their answer will resolve yes.
- If they are losing, resolves no.
- If the Democratic candidate is tied, resolves no.
- Resolves according to the Democratic candidate.