Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione10g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNorth Carolina - Roy Cooper 99%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto6 set 26, 20:16 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Senate candidates will Barack Obama rally for in the 2026 Midterms?
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Manifold MarketsRepublicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by which date?
PolymarketDemocratic Senate Seat Count (2028)
KalshiRegole
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2026-midterm-election-polls-model
- on election day 2026 after the polls are closed, I will check Nate Silvers election poll model to resolve this market.
- If the Democratic candidate in the race is leading, their answer will resolve yes.
- If they are losing, resolves no.
- If the Democratic candidate is tied, resolves no.
- Resolves according to the Democratic candidate.