Will any US Senate candidate lead the polling average by 8% or more and lose?

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro-1.8pt81.2%
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+2.0pt18.8%

+17 altri esiti

Volume totale

177,4 Mln €

Volume 24h

3,4 Mln €

POLYMARKET

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

• Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia-12.5pt57.6%
• Student List – Students Win+12.0pt42.4%
• Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor0%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

Texas Senate winner?

• James Talarico+1.0pt64.5%
• Ken Paxton+1.0pt35.5%

Volume totale

37,3 Mln €

Volume 24h

POLYMARKET

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%+9.0pt49.5%
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%-6.5pt29.1%
• Lula da Silva <4%+2.0pt15.5%

KALSHI

Which party will win the U.S. House?

• Democratic Party-0.3pt90.3%
• Republican Party+0.2pt9.7%

Volume totale

62,6 Mln €

Volume 24h

KALSHI

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

• Democrats sweep-3.0pt63.5%
• D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt25.5%
• Republicans sweep