KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Below 45 14%In testa tra 14 esiti
Qualità del mercato
38 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
2,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
15 mag 26, 21:00 UTC1 feb 29, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Democratic party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:United States Congress
- If the Democratic party has exactly 45 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 46 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 47 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 48 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Democratic party has exactly 49 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)?
- Kalshi quota Below 45 al 14% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)?
- Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Democratic Senate Seat Count (2028)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Democratic party has the named outcome Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.