Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 27 ott 2026, 13:06 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 82.5%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto8 giu 26, 16:26 UTC31 dic 33, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsDemis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Demis Hassabis leave Google?
Manifold MarketsWill Demis Hassabis still be at Google at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we get ASI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Sir Demis Hassabis is officially announced as a recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine, either individually or jointly.
- The official source of truth is the Nobel Prize announcement page: https://www.nobelprize.org/
- The market will resolve to NO if he has not been awarded the prize by the market's closing date.
- In 2024, Demis Hassabis was jointly awarded the Nobel Prize in Chemistry alongside John M. Jumper and David Baker for their breakthrough work on predicting protein structures using the AI model AlphaFold.
- Prior to receiving the Chemistry Nobel, Hassabis won the Albert Lasker Award for Basic Medical Research in 2023, which is widely considered the "American Nobel" in medicine.
