Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 85.1%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo8 giu 26, 16:26 UTC31 dic 33, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsDemis Hassabis still at Google end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Demis Hassabis leave Google?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize in Literature: 2026
KalshiNobel Prize in Economics 2026
Kalshi2026 Nobel Physics winner?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Sir Demis Hassabis is officially announced as a recipient of the Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine, either individually or jointly.
- The official source of truth is the Nobel Prize announcement page: https://www.nobelprize.org/
- The market will resolve to NO if he has not been awarded the prize by the market's closing date.
- In 2024, Demis Hassabis was jointly awarded the Nobel Prize in Chemistry alongside John M. Jumper and David Baker for their breakthrough work on predicting protein structures using the AI model AlphaFold.
- Prior to receiving the Chemistry Nobel, Hassabis won the Albert Lasker Award for Basic Medical Research in 2023, which is widely considered the "American Nobel" in medicine.
Mercati aperti
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+3 altri esiti
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- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
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+7 altri esiti
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+5 altri esiti
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- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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+2 altri esiti
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 85% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine??
- Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Will Demis Hassabis also win a Nobel Prize in Medicine??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria