Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030?

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030??

Manifold Markets quota No al 58.9% al 19 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030??

Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2032.

Come viene liquidato Will China set up an economic blockade against Taiwan by restricting/blocking > 50% of Taiwanese maritime/ship-based trade by beginning of 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5320/chinese-annexation-of-half-of-taiwan-by-2050/#comment-98618

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POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 22-8.0pt88%
• October 24-6.5pt85%
• October 28-4.0pt83%

+17 altri esiti

Volume totale

16,1 Mln €

Volume 24h

1,5 Mln €

POLYMARKET

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?

• October 21-0.4pt97%
• October 31+2.0pt88%
• November 15-0.5pt70%

+26 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement-6.3pt92.8%
• D+2.5pt4.1%
• R+1.9pt3.1%

POLYMARKET

US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?

• March 31+8.5pt66%
• December 31+2.3pt38%
• November 30+6.0pt26%

+20 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

• Yes-2.0pt77.2%
• No+2.0pt22.8%

Volume totale

690,8K €

Volume 24h

204,3K €

POLYMARKET

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement-6.7pt84.2%
• D+6.5pt10.9%
• R+1.0pt5%

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