Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
One-OffGeopoliticaCina1a
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Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto10 dic 23, 03:42 UTC1 gen 28, 07:59 UTC
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Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Manifold MarketsPenghu County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketKinmen County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketRegole
Taiwan possesses four island groups off the coast of mainland China: Kinmen, the Matsu Islands, Wuqiu, and Penghu.
- [image]China might opt to seize one or more of these islands in the coming years, either to test American and Taiwanese resolve, as a bargaining chip, as salami tactics, or as part of an invasion or naval blockade.
- Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands before the end of 2027?
- Same question except:
- before end of 2024
- before end of 2025