Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 61.5%
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto11 set 25, 00:04 UTC11 set 35, 00:04 UTC
Trend
Regole
Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.
- Dying in prison is not receiving the death penalty.
- Update 2025-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Requires actual execution: Resolves YES only if the killer is put to death via capital punishment (e.g., firing squad, lethal injection).
- A death sentence without execution does not count.
