Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 61.5%
Previsori
42
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto11 set 25, 00:04 UTC11 set 35, 00:04 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will rapper d4vd receive the death penalty?
Manifold MarketsWhat's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsWill multiple people be charged for Charlie Kirk’s death?
Manifold MarketsTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.
- Dying in prison is not receiving the death penalty.
- Update 2025-09-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Requires actual execution: Resolves YES only if the killer is put to death via capital punishment (e.g., firing squad, lethal injection).
- A death sentence without execution does not count.
Mercati aperti
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+4.5pt65%
- Yes-4.5pt35%
- Volume totale
- 347,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,4K €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Volume totale
- 497,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,5K €
POLYMARKETNothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes+2.0pt83.2%
- No-2.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 676K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,2K €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume totale
- 9,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 4,6K €
KALSHIWill Trump be impeached and removed from office?
- No84%
- Yes-1.0pt16%
- Volume totale
- 577,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30+1.5pt7%
+3 altri esiti
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- What will Brett Kavanaugh say during his Notre Dame Lecture?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
- Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Andrew Tate released from custody by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 62% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty??
- Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty? dovrebbe risolversi il 11 settembre 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Will Charlie Kirk's killer receive the death penalty??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2025-09-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If Tyler Robinson is not the killer, the market will wait until the actual killer is identified.