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No 59.9%
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Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mag 24, 03:09 UTC31 dic 26, 06:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Astrobotic Technology's Griffin Mission 1 mission successfully land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegole
Will Griffin land on the Moon and transmit data back to Earth?
- Upright landing is not required.
- Functioning payloads are not required.
- Any data or telemetry from the vehicle or any payload is adequate.
- Resolves No if the landing fails or the mission is cancelled.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 60% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon??
- Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will Griffin land on the Moon and transmit data back to Earth?