Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 50.4%
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4
Tipo di domanda
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mag 23, 15:25 UTC1 gen 33, 00:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's HLS lander successfully land on the moon on the first attempt?
Manifold MarketsWhich Artemis HLS system will land on the Moon
Manifold MarketsWill more manned Artemis missions land on the moon than during Apollo?
Manifold MarketsNext England National Team Head Coach
PolymarketWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRegole
NASA has just selected National Team's proposal for the second human landing system.
- They intend to use it with Artemis V, which is currently scheduled for 2029.
- Will the lander be ready in time? If not, they may opt to use another Starship HLS.
- If the lander isn't ready yet and they use a Starship mission but call it "Artemis VI", skipping over "Artemis V", then this market resolves to No. The intention is to ask whether the fifth Artemis mission uses National Team's lander.
- If there's an "interim" mission used for Artemis 3, such as LEO docking and reentry, then this market applies to Artemis 6 instead of 5.
- Basically asking, will National Team's lander be ready for a mission after the first two official HLS crew landings?