Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 50.4%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mag 23, 15:25 UTC1 gen 33, 00:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Astrobotic's Griffin Lander land (mostly successfully) on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Cristiano Ronaldo play for the Portugal National Team again?
KalshiWill Messi play for the Argentina National Team again?
KalshiNext England National Team Head Coach
PolymarketRegole
NASA has just selected National Team's proposal for the second human landing system.
- They intend to use it with Artemis V, which is currently scheduled for 2029.
- Will the lander be ready in time? If not, they may opt to use another Starship HLS.
- If the lander isn't ready yet and they use a Starship mission but call it "Artemis VI", skipping over "Artemis V", then this market resolves to No. The intention is to ask whether the fifth Artemis mission uses National Team's lander.
- If there's an "interim" mission used for Artemis 3, such as LEO docking and reentry, then this market applies to Artemis 6 instead of 5.
- Basically asking, will National Team's lander be ready for a mission after the first two official HLS crew landings?
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 50% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon??
- Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2033.
- Come viene liquidato Will Artemis V use National Team's lander to land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: NASA has just selected National Team's proposal for the second human landing system.