Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 97%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto25 mag 23, 16:58 UTC31 gen 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will OpenAI stick to its commitment to the same red lines as Anthropic for the US military using its AI by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves positively based on credible news report over a 1 month period that a deployed Siri or analogous programme is powered using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 97% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026??
- Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Apple power Siri using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic before 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves positively based on credible news report over a 1 month period that a deployed Siri or analogous programme is powered using an AI thats the IP of Anthropic.