Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 69%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto21 apr 26, 19:52 UTC22 gen 31, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Coca-Cola's 2026 Christmas Commercial Substantially AI Generated?
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KalshiNow Coca-Cola Company buys Restaurant Brands International (RBI) on 2035
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FutuurWill any country stop using paper currency by end 2029?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegole
Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.
- This can be inferred from reporting or company announcements about how their ad was produced
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 69% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 22 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Will Coca Cola Stop using AI to generate their Christmas Commercial before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves if a Coca Cola Christmas ad airs before 2030 has fewer than 50% of its pixels produced by a Gen AI model.