Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 63.5%
Previsori
52
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto2 apr 26, 22:03 UTC31 dic 26, 22:55 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
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Manifold MarketsWill anyone be criminally charged based on evidence from the Epstein files in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
PolymarketWill anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
KalshiHas anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?
Manifold MarketsRegole
HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.
- This law criminalizes usage of the preferred restroom for transgender persons.
- Resolves YES if anyone is formally charged under the statute in 2026.
- Resolves NO if not.
- Note that it doesn't matter if the charges are later dropped.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.5pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+0.7pt98%
- September 25-2.0pt90%
- September 30-2.0pt80%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+38.0pt53.5%
- Nicolás Maduro-38.3pt45.5%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 615,5 Mln €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-1.2pt10.1%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 14,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 58,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 326K €
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- Fed Decision in October?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 64% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will anyone be charged under the new Idaho Bathroom Bill??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: HB 752 was just signed into law, adding Section 18-4117 to the Idaho Code.